Calculate the intrinsic value of an investment or firm based on forecasted cash flows
Enter the base cash flow, growth rate, discount rate, terminal growth rate, shares outstanding, and net debt (for FCFF) to forecast cash flows and estimate the intrinsic value. All monetary values should be in Ghanaian Cedi (GHS). Example: Use base FCFF or FCFE data from Access Bank Ghana (174 million shares).
DCF Formula
DCF = Σ (Cash Flowₜ / (1 + Discount Rate)ᵗ) + Terminal Value / (1 + Discount Rate)ⁿ
Where Cash Flowₜ = Base Cash Flow × (1 + Growth Rate)^t for each year, Terminal Value = (Final Year Cash Flow × (1 + Terminal Growth Rate)) / (Discount Rate - Terminal Growth Rate). For FCFF: Equity Value = DCF - Net Debt, Per-share value = Equity Value ÷ Shares Outstanding. For FCFE: Per-share value = DCF ÷ Shares Outstanding.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates the intrinsic value of an investment (FCFE) or firm (FCFF) by forecasting and discounting projected future cash flows to their present value. FCFF valuations require subtracting net debt to derive equity value.
DCF calculates the present value of forecasted future cash flows, reflecting the investment’s or firm’s true value.
Use reliable base cash flow, growth rates, discount and terminal growth rates, and net debt (for FCFF).
Choose FCFE for equity valuation or FCFF for firm valuation. FCFF valuations include an additional step to subtract net debt to calculate equity value.
Choose the number of years (1–10) for which to project future cash flows.
Input the current (Year 0) cash flow (FCFE or FCFF) and the annual growth rate (%). The calculator will automatically forecast cash flows for each year using the formula: Cash Flowₜ = Base Cash Flow × (1 + Growth Rate)ᵗ. For example, a base cash flow of GHS 250M with a 5% growth rate will generate Year 1 cash flow of GHS 262.5M, Year 2 of GHS 275.625M, etc.
Input the discount rate (%) to calculate the present value of future cash flows. Use the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for FCFF (typically 5–12%) or the cost of equity for FCFE (e.g., via CAPM). You can calculate this using the Cost of Equity Calculator or source it from financial websites like Yahoo Finance.
Input the perpetual growth rate (%) for cash flows after the forecast period (typically 1–3%), based on long-term GDP or industry growth rates.
Input the total number of shares outstanding in millions (e.g., 174 for Access Bank Ghana) to calculate the intrinsic value per share.
For FCFF valuations, input net debt (total debt minus cash and cash equivalents) from the company’s balance sheet, sourced from financial websites like Yahoo Finance or gse.com.gh.
Click “Calculate” to forecast cash flows, compute the DCF value (enterprise value for FCFF or equity value for FCFE), and determine the per-share value. Review the results table to see forecasted cash flows and their present values. Compare the intrinsic value per share with the current share price to assess investment opportunities.
To calculate an accurate Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation, source reliable financial data. Here’s how to find the required inputs for global and Ghanaian companies:
Use the current or Year 0 Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) or Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF):
Estimate the annual growth rate for forecasting cash flows:
Use the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for FCFF or required return for FCFE:
Estimate perpetual growth rate:
Find the total number of shares outstanding:
Calculate as total debt (short-term + long-term debt) minus cash and cash equivalents:
Examples: